• economic update

    • economic update
    • economicupdate
      • December-2019: Recession Risks Are Receding But We Still Face Uncertainty
        PEFINDO is of the view that the threat of a recession in 2020 has receded, mainly due to the normalization of the yield curve and the progress in the trade negotiations between the United States of America (US) and China. However, there are still uncertainties ahead. The US and other countries may have their own respective risks, and interconnected geopolitical threats and other non-economic risks need to be navigated in order to take advantage of more opportunities in 2020. More detail ...
      • October-2019: Indonesia’s Comparative Advantage
        PEFINDO is of the view that the Indonesian economy is becoming “the most beautifull” investment destination among its peers nowadays. The fundamentals of the domestic economy are relatively stable, indicated by a decrease in risk perception, stable returns and upgraded rating. But although global recession indicators have recently stopped flashing red, given the normalized yield curve and progress in the US-China trade negotiations, there are still uncertainties ahead, especially from trade tensions and geopolitical risk. More detail ...
      • August-2019: Bank Indonesia’s Changing Stance
        In 2019, the majority of central banks changed their policy stances from hawkish in 2018 to dovish. Bank Indonesia (BI) appears to be following this changing global monetary policy trend. In the first quarter of 2019, Indonesia’s central bank still gave hawkish signals in looking at the economy. But at the beginning of the second quarter of 2019, it began to turn around and start giving dovish signals to the domestic economy. More detail ...
      • June-2019: Global Investment Shifts Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
        As a developing country, Indonesia is not immune to the impacts of the current global economic condition. This was seen in the GDP growth figure for the first quarter of 2019, which declined to 5.07% from 5.18% in the last quarter of 2018. Economic growth for the full year of 2018 was 5.17%. More detail ...
      • April-2019: Bank Indonesia’s Dilemma: Reduce Domestic Cost of Funds or Maintain Capital Inflow?
        Indonesia's trade balance is showing signs of recovery, recording two consecutive months of surpluses at USD329.5 million in February and USD540.2 million in March. This is good news as it influences reserves assets, rupiah stabilization and economic growth. As pressure from the trade sector is easing, the US Federal Reserve has indicated it will keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.5% this year, so opportunities for Bank Indonesia to reduce its policy rate (and cost of funds) are increasing. More detail ...
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